Director of National Intelligence James Clapper (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)
WASHINGTON (AP) — North Korea has expanded a uranium enrichment plant and restarted a plutonium reactor that could begin recovering material for nuclear weapons in weeks or months, the U.S. intelligence chief said Tuesday in delivering an annual threat assessment by intelligence agencies, which lists the top dangers facing the country.
Islamic terrorists and those inspired by the Islamic State will continue to pose a threat to Americans at home and abroad; al-Qaeda remains an enemy; and the U.S. will continue to see cyber threats from China, Russia and North Korea, according to the assessment.
North Korean leaders in Pyongyang announced in 2013 its intention to refurbish and restart nuclear facilities, to include the uranium enrichment plant at Yongbyon and its plutonium-production reactor, which was shut down in 2007, Director of National Intelligence James Clapper said. Clapper said U.S. intelligence had assessed that North Korea has expanded Yongbyon and restarted the plutonium production reactor there.
Clapper also told the Senate Armed Services Committee in his opening statement that North Korea has been operating the reactor long enough that it could begin to recover plutonium “within a matter of weeks to months.”
Both findings will deepen concern that North Korea is not only making technical advances in its nuclear weapons program, following its recent underground test explosion and rocket launch, but is working to expand what is thought to be a small nuclear arsenal. U.S.-based experts have estimated that North Korea may have about 10 bombs, but that could grow to between 20 and 100 by 2020.
North Korea on Sunday launched a rocket that it said carried an Earth observation satellite into space, drawing widespread condemnation from world leaders. The launch followed a Jan. 6 underground nuclear explosion that North Korea claimed was the successful test of a “miniaturized” hydrogen bomb. Many outside experts were skeptical and Clapper said the low yield of the test “is not consistent with a successful test of a thermonuclear device.”
Pyongyang is also committed to developing a long-range, nuclear-armed missile that is capable of posing a direct threat to the United States, Clapper said, adding that “the system has not been flight-tested.”
Turning to other threats, Clapper said, Islamic terrorists will continue plotting against U.S. interests overseas and homegrown attacks will pose the most significant threat from violent extremists to Americans at home.
“The perceived success of attacks by homegrown violent extremists in Europe and North America, such as those in Chattanooga and San Bernardino, might motivate others to replicate opportunistic attacks with little or no warning, diminishing our ability to detect terrorist operational planning and readiness,” he said.
“Those who draw inspiration from the group’s highly sophisticated media without direct guidance” from leaders of Islamic state will likely constitute the most direct threat from the terrorist group, Clapper said.
Regarding threats to information technologys, Clapper said systems controlled by the U.S. government and American industry are vulnerable to cyberattacks from Russia and China. Also, North Korea “probably remains capable and willing to launch disruptive or destructive cyberattacks to support its political objectives,” he said.
Moscow “is assuming a more assertive cyber posture” that is based on its willingness to target critical infrastructure and carry out espionage operations even when those operations have been detected and under increased public scrutiny, Clapper said. Russia’s cyber operations are likely to target U.S. interests in part to underpin its intelligence gathering to support Russia’s moves in the Ukraine and Syrian crises, he said.
Clapper also said Moscow’s incursion in Ukraine and other “aggressive” moves around the globe are being done in part to demonstrate that it is a superpower equal to the United States. He said he’s unsure of Russia’s end game but is concerned “we could be into another Cold War like-spiral.”
“I think the Russians fundamentally are paranoid about NATO,” Clapper said, referring to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. “They’re greatly concerned about being contained and are of course very, very concerned about missile defense, which would serve to neuter what is the essence to their claim to great power status, which is their nuclear arsenal.”
Clapper said China selectively uses cyberattacks against targets Beijing believes threaten Chinese domestic stability or regime legitimacy. He also pointed to cyberattacks aimed at stealing U.S. industrial secrets.
“We will monitor compliance with China’s September 2015 commitment to refrain from conducting or knowingly supporting cyber-enabled theft of intellectual property with the intent of providing competitive advantage to companies or commercial sectors,” he said.
On Afghanistan, Clapper said the country is at “serious risk of a political breakdown during 2016.” He said waning political cohesion, rising activities by local powerbrokers, financial shortfalls and sustained attacks by the Taliban erode stability.
On Syria, Lt. Col. Vincent Stewart, director of the Defense Intelligence Agency, said he does not think the Syrian government of Bashar Assad is likely to collapse or be defeated in the near term, citing increased support from Iran and Russia. He said Assad’s forces will likely regain key territory. “He certainly is in a much stronger negotiating position that he was just six months ago,” Stewart said.
He predicted, however, that Iranian and Russian interests in Syria will likely diverge because they won’t share the stage there as a regional power. For now, however, Iran wants to maintain its relations with Moscow so it can purchase Russian arms without preconditions.
Director of National Intelligence James Clapper (AP Photo/Evan Vucci) 
