Margin of ‘Victory’ in Six Battleground States in 2020 Presidential Election, As Of Mid-December 2020

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Below are the reported vote totals from six battleground states in the November 2020 presidential election.  The six states are Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania.

Joe Biden has been declared the winner by state officials in all six, but President Donald Trump has contested those findings.

Vote totals were taken from state web sites on Sunday, December 13, 2020. An image of each state’s web site is below the vote totals.

Based on official results — which are disputed — Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in the Electoral College by 306 to 232 votes. Biden is expected to receive enough votes to be elected president of the United States when electors from each state meet in their state capitals on Monday, December 14, 2020.

But if certain states flipped to President Trump, he would likely win the election. If the three states of Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin flipped, then Trump and Biden would tie at 269 electoral votes, and the U.S. House of Representatives would choose the president. Each state’s delegation would get one vote, in accord with the Twelfth Amendment of the United States Constitution. Each delegation can only vote for either Trump or Biden, and Trump would likely win, since Republicans currently hold majorities in 26 state delegations versus 24 for Democrats.

Any combination of 38 electoral votes or more from the six states would give Trump a majority of electors and win him the election outright.

Congress is not scheduled to certify the vote count until Wednesday, January 6, 2021. Inauguration Day is Wednesday, January 20, 2020.

Here are the results from the six battleground states:


1.  Arizona

Electoral Votes:    11


Joe Biden                         1,672,143                         48.88  %

Donald Trump                1,661,686                         48.58  %


Difference:    10,457

Total Ballots Cast Reported:  3,420,565




2.  Georgia

Electoral Votes:    16


Joe Biden                         2,474,597                         49.51  %

Donald Trump                 2,461,837                         49.25  %


Difference:    12,760

Total Ballots Cast Reported: 4,998,482



3.    Wisconsin

Electoral Votes:    10


Joe Biden                         1,630,673                         49.45  %

Donald Trump                 1,610,065                         48.83  %


Difference:  20,608

Total Ballots Cast Reported: 3,297,352


[Editor’s Note:  These figures from Wisconsin are from before a recount of two counties requested by (and paid for by) the Trump campaign. The recounts slightly extended Biden’s lead in those two counties, according to news reports, but the Wisconsin Secretary of State’s web site did not displays vote totals from the state taking into account the recounts as of Sunday, December 13, 2020.]



4.    Michigan

Electoral Votes:    16


Joe Biden                         2,804,040                         50.62 percent

Donald Trump                 2,649,852                         47.84 percent


Difference:  154,188

Total Ballots Cast Reported:  5,539,302



5.    Nevada

Electoral Votes:    6


Joe Biden                         703,486                         49.98  %

Donald Trump                 669,890                         47.59  %


Difference:  33,596

Total Ballots Cast Reported:  1,407,654


Reported turnout in November 2020 presidential election in state of Nevada, according to the web site of the Nevada Secretary of State



6.    Pennsylvania

Electoral Votes:    20


Note:  Pennsylvania’s web site states that vote figures for the November 2020 presidential election do not include ballots received after 8 p.m. Tuesday, November 3 (which was election day) and before 5 p.m. Friday, November 6.  Pennsylvania’s web site’s home landing page for 2020 election results does not (as of Sunday, December 13) include a figure for the total number of ballots cast.  But it does include percentages for candidates.


Joe Biden                         3,458,229                         50.01  %

Donald Trump               3,377,674                           48.84  %


Difference:    80,555